McKissic returns from injury to his role as the pass-catching back, and Washington also drafted Brian Robinson Jr in the third round. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. While the opportunity is undeniable, it's risky betting on Davis as the answer. Every NFL team's most overrated player of all time Jarrett Bailey 12/21/2021 180K donated to doctor who preformed 10-year-old girl's abortion to help with legal costs, security. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. Lynn's mauling offensive line and run-first mentality give Swift a chance to make good on his ADP, but he is being drafted at his ceiling. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. 25 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. I believe it is more accurate to measure a RB by per season averages, because running backs such as Jim Brown did not play long. Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. "Footballguys is the best premiumfantasy football Washingtons offense ranked 21st in overall DVOA last season and doesnt project to improve much in 2022 despite the addition of Carson Wentz. The additions of Mike Boone and Javonte Williams haven't done anything to dispel this idea. only site on the planet. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB33 | Consensus Projections RB31. From Weeks 13 through 17, Dobbins received a measly two total targets from quarterback Lamar Jackson. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. There have been 49 running backs taken among the first 10 picks since 1960, and Byars has the lowest rushing average of the bunch. In no way am I saying Bettis should not be a hall of famer. I'm out. His average DVOA of 0.085% would rank him 31st in the NFL in 2009, right behind Rashard Mendenhall. There isnt much to like here. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. Marshall Faulk 7. Only he and Jim brown had a full career average of 5.0 ypc lifetime. Phil Alexander: The epic stretch-run that led Montgomery to an RB4 finish in 2020 came with Tarik Cohen sidelined and against the defenses of Green Bay, Detroit, Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville, respectively. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. His week one status is in doubt, and there are reports he may not be ready for 12-15 touch workloads until October. Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. His career YPC was 3.9. By the end of the year, that may change, but Etienne will be a change-of-pace and gadget player who might earn flex value this year until then. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. However, his footwork and explosiveness in tight spaces allowed him to slip would-be tacklers with consistency. He yields passing work to J.D. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. Then we have the Taysom Hill conundrum. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. But, man, there are all sorts of asterisks to add to that description. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History | Stadium Talk J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + Chris "Beanie" Wells. Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. The only reason Johnson had fantasy value last year was a superhuman effort from Deshaun Watson to move the offense and produce points. Henry is one of my favorite players in the league, but there are preferable first-round picks for me in 2021. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. This is a major factor to any expectation that Robinson is fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the very early weeks in the season. You are better off investing in a more consistent player for your RB2 when you get to the late second or early third round of drafts. This slideshow lists the most underrated and overrated quarterbacks, running backs and receivers in the NFL, and the choices might shock you. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. Take Carter later as a committee back with some possible upside, but he's being overvalued by drafters right now. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. David Montgomery looked the part of a workhorse profile after Cohen left the lineup, and Khalil Herbert is a rookie to watch for upward mobility on the depth chart. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. Victoria Geary: Sanders had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Madden 21 Ratings: NFL's most underrated and overrated players Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. Andrew Davenport: Fantasy managers are drafting Carter as though he is the unquestioned starter. Jamaal Williams is a fine receiver, route runner, and red-zone back who will limit Swift's upside to a low-end fantasy RB2, at best. Single Avoid. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. Downing, USA Today Sports. Taysom Hill had nine carries from inside the opponent's five-yard line to Kamara's 15 in 2021 and won't be removed from the Saints' red-zone plans any time soon. There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. That is still great, but not quite as good as many people have him ranked. Jonathan Morris: As soon as Josh McDaniels came into the picture as the new head coach of the Raiders, my valuation of Jacobs immediately went down. Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. Single Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. J.D. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. Cohen is strictly limited to passing-down work, and the numbers suggest that he isn't outstanding in that role either. Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 Henderson was arguably the best blocking fullback during the late 90s, paving the way for nine 1,000 yard rushers in his 12 years in Green Bay. Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. Preseason may help a little. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his current ADP of RB13 and 20th overall. J.D. 25 Running Backs Overrated Players 10 Quarterbacks 12 Tight Ends 23 Wide Receivers 25 Running Backs Deep Sleepers 9 Quarterbacks 11 Tight Ends 15 Wide Receivers 13 Running Backs The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. But just like Logan Thomas, McKissic benefitted from a perfect storm of low average depth of target throws from the quarterbacks last year and the lack of receivers outside of Terry McLaurin. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. So should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. Ryan Hester: If Aaron Rodgers leaves Green Bay, no Green Bay players will see their output exceed their price tag. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. And even if he played all three downs, the target competition is strong (Davante Adams, Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow). As well as he played in the postseason, Fournette is still an inefficient committee back ticketed to share work with Ronald Jones II and Giovani Bernard. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. There are some people who will say he was the most overrated running back in history because he was 1-5 in the playoffs, and he never won a Super . Most overrated players in Madden 21 J.J. Watt, defensive end, Houston Texans. However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. Finally, Sanders has continued fumbling and dropping passes in camp -- problems that plagued him last season. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Then, two players were listed as being the most overrated compared to their draft projection. If you look at Bettis total career marks, you will see that he is 5th on the all time rushing yards list and 10th in TDs. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB28. Jamal Lewis 18. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Henry is all but guaranteed to regress after rushing for over 2,000 yards last season, and he doesnt catch enough passes. I feel like most drafting Gordon right now are doing it on name value, but he now has plenty of competition with Javonte Williams and Mike Boone as priority adds this offseason. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB9 | Consensus Projections RB9. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. With the second-year back getting selected in the early second round of most drafts, fantasy managers must be expecting that trend to continue in 2021. Search my work, about me, and maybe -if I ever get around to it - my blog. . When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. 1 status. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. 24 Overrated RBs. The 100 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time - Bleacher Report Top 11 running backs of all time from Barry Sanders to O.J. Simpson A veteran, a trade, or another team's roster cut is more likely to be the bigger threat. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. McKissic take the bulk of receiving work in Washington -- even though Gibson himself is a converted wide receiver. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. In Week 16 of the 2011 season, Adrian Peterson tore his ACL and returned as the #1 overall running back in 2012. most overrated running backs of all time. Phil Alexander: Michael Thomas' ankle injury opens up additional targets for Kamara, who will operate as New Orleans' de facto No. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. Single Without the volume, he is hard to use. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Mckissic, and there was talk of rookie Brian Robinson Jr taking on the short yardage work. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Sigmund Bloom: The Raiders are going to adopt a frustrating Patriots-style committee at running back under Josh McDaniels, which means that Jacobs will be at best Damien Harris in this offense. He was used more as a receiver than anything. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. Its a knock on his offensive line. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Unlike Lindsay, Williams can supplant Gordon at the goal line, and there's some possibility that Williams takes over the backfield right away. Baltimore Ravens: Most underrated, overrated players of all time That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. Most Overrated RB Of All-Time - Bleacher Report Green Bay Packers: Most underrated, overrated players of all time - NFL.com Jacobs is not the alpha; he's one of many in the Vegas backfield. The current regime did not select Robinson. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. Sigmund Bloom: Barkley may not be 100% to start the season, and he might not truly be 100% until next season. Overrated at the Oscars: Best Picture winners most out of step with Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. Miami will use a committee as none of the backs on the roster can handle the lead-back role. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17.